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Buy NIIT Tech; target of Rs 440: PLilladher

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 16 Juli 2014 | 18.00

Prabhudas Lilladher is bullish on NIIT Technologies and has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target of Rs 440 in its July 15, 2014 research report.

Prabhudas Lilladher`s research report on NIIT Technologies

"NIIT Technologies (NIIT Tech) Q1FY15 performance was below PLe/Consensus' expectation. The company reported order intake of $124m (‐14.5% YoY), with order executable improving marginally by 1.7% to $295m. We revise our TP to Rs440 (from Rs510) as we revise our estimates down."

"NIIT Tech reported a revenue growth of 1.4% QoQ to US$96.5m (PLe: US$99.4m, Cons.: US$97.7m) and declined by 1.9% QoQ to Rs5,776m (PLe: Rs5,942m, Cons: Rs5,839m). EBITDA margins eroded by 171bps to 13.4% (PLe: 14.5%, Cons.: 14.5%), due to rupee appreciation, wage hike and ramp‐down. EPS declined by 30.2% QoQ to Rs7.11 (PLe: Rs8.3, Cons.: Rs8.5). Fresh Order intake for NIIT Tech was $144m (5yr avg.: $105m) driven by three wins in the USA and one in EMEA, however, it declined by 14% YoY. The order executable over the next 12 months grew by 12.2% YoY to $295m. The company is chasing 3 large deals ($25mn+) and expected to close at least one large deal each quarter. The management highlighted ramp‐down in two BFSI (the US) clients during the quarter that is likely to spill over the next quarter (Q2FY15) because the ramp‐down picked up only towards the end of the quarter. The management expect steady pick‐up in revenue and margin in H2FY15; however, the concern on near term earnings volatility persists."

"We revise our revenue and margin expectations downwards for FY15E and FY16E (Exhibit: 2) as we see slower revenue momentum for the company. We expect muted growth at the bottom‐line as newly‐signed MSP/IMS deals involve upfront cost and weaker margin profile. The management expects exit EBITDA margin at ~16%. Growing fresh order intake and improved deal pipeline gives revenue visibility; however, clients' specific issues marred growth at topline and bottomline over the last two quarters. We expect stock to remain under pressure in the near term. But, we are factoring in improved revenue momentum in H2FY15 along with margin uptick. We revise our TP to Rs440, 10x FY16E earnings estimate," says Prabhudas Lilladher research report.

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Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Ahluwalia Contracts sees 20-25% topline growth in FY15

In an interview to CNBC-TV18's Nigel D'souza and Reema Tendulkar, Shobhit Uppal, deputy MD of  Ahluwalia Contracts spoke about the company's latest order win and the road ahead.

Below is a verbatim transcript of the interview

Reema: You have won a Rs 615 crore order. Could you tell us now, with this, what the order book stands at and what will be the timeline of execution of this particular order?

A: Our unexecuted order book stands at about Rs 3,200 crore and this is to be executed over next two-and-half to three years.

The Rs 614 crore order win, primarily, is two orders. One is an order for Rs 202 crore, which is the headquarter for Punjab National Bank (PNB) in Dwarka in Delhi and the other is headquarter of the Police Bhawan in Patna, which is for about Rs 330 crore.

So, these are to be executed over the next two-and-half years.

Nigel: Could you give us some margins on these particular orders? Rs 615 crore—what is the margin looks like; is it 5 percent or is it sub-5 percent?

A: It would be between 5-6 percent.

Nigel: So it will be profitable for you even at the margin level because last year itself your margins were around 4 percent odd?

A: Yes. These are orders, which we have been able to leverage our credentials (with) and these were large prestigious contracts. So the competition was also limited to the likes of L&T and ourselves. So, we feel our margins would be between 5 and 6 percent.

Reema: Last year was a difficult year for you all; your revenues declined by 33 percent so in that sense are you expecting FY15 to see a topline growth?

A: Yes we are. The construction industry bas been going through turmoil and almost all our contemporaries are facing liquidity problem. So, we took conscious decision last year to consolidate and that's why we did not pick up any new order especially in the private sector.

Now, with the change in government, we are seeing the scenario changing. So, we are quite bullish, especially on the government orders. That's why we are projecting a growth of about 20-25 percent in our topline.

Nigel: Earlier this month you have approved a preferential issue of around Rs 50 crore odd, if that happens at the current market price then the promoter stake is going to go to around 74 percent plus, could you take us through the details of this particular preferential order? When can we see it coming about?

A: It will be coming about in next two-three months. We are putting in our own money because there are liquidity issues. In the private sector our clients are not paying us. To tide over these difficult times, we are putting in our own money and this is expected to happen in next two-three months.

Ahluwalia stock price

On July 16, 2014, Ahluwalia Contracts India closed at Rs 113.15, up Rs 5.70, or 5.30 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 135.00 and the 52-week low was Rs 15.55.


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 3.47 per share as per the quarter ended March 2014. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 32.61. The latest book value of the company is Rs 36.04 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 3.14.


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MCX Goldpetal August contract trades flat

Goldpetal prices on MCX were trading flat. MCX Goldpetal August contract was trading at Rs 2824 up Re 1, or 0.04 percent.

At 16:07 hrs MCX GOLDPETAL July contract was trading at Rs 2839 up Rs 3, or 0.11 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate touched an intraday high of Rs 2842 and an intraday low of Rs 2832. So far 3939 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved down Rs 139, or 4.67 percent in the July series so far.

MCX GOLDPETAL August contract was trading at Rs 2824 up Rs 1, or 0.04 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate touched an intraday high of Rs 2825 and an intraday low of Rs 2815. So far 1567 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved down Rs 276, or 8.90 percent in the August series so far.


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MCX Silvermic November contract slips

Silvermic prices on MCX were trading lower on Wednesday. MCX Silvermic November contract was trading at Rs 45586 down Rs 167, or 0.37 percent.

At 16:09 hrs MCX SILVERMIC August contract was trading at Rs 44708 down Rs 168, or 0.37 percent. The SILVERMIC rate touched an intraday high of Rs 44849 and an intraday low of Rs 44546. So far 20744 contracts have been traded. SILVERMIC prices have moved down Rs 5023, or 10.10 percent in the August series so far.

MCX SILVERMIC November contract was trading at Rs 45586 down Rs 167, or 0.37 percent. The SILVERMIC rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45684 and an intraday low of Rs 45426. So far 1448 contracts have been traded. SILVERMIC prices have moved up Rs 1586, or 3.60 percent in the November series so far.


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Will see growth, margins improve in second half: NIIT Tech

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 15 Juli 2014 | 18.00

NIIT Technologies  first-quarter earnings were below estimates, primarily on account of weakness with two client accounts belonging to the banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI) sector in the US, as well as some local government contracts coming to an end, chairman Rajendra Pawar said.

The software firm's first quarter net profit fell 30.2 percent to Rs 43.2 crore this quarter, compared to street estimates of Rs 52.3 crore.

Also read: NIIT Tech Q1 profit falls 30%, growth to pick up in H2FY15

"But order intake has been healthy at Rs 124 million as it has in the last few quarters so that is a positive," Pawar told CNBC-TV18's Reema Tendulkar and Nigel D'Souza in an interview.

"So we do look at the second half of the year picking up."

Below is the transcript of Rajendra S Pawar's interview with CNBC-TV18.

Reema: You have indicated that growth this quarter was impacted on account of two BFSI clients in the US. Can you tell us on the back of that how much did it impact your revenues and going ahead do you expect this weakness to continue in these two particular clients?

A: There will be ways to cover up but it will not get any worse. The customers had a few internal issues so that has had an impact. So that is one part of the exercise. But we have to remember that last year this time we also had some large government projects in India getting executed, that was not so this year, they are getting exhausted so that also caused a little bit of impact.

But order intake has been healthy at Rs 124 million as it has in the last few quarters so that is a positive. Also we track order executable over the next 12 months and that has gone up from Rs 290 million last quarter to Rs 295 million.

So we do look at the second half of the year picking up, the gap that has happened or picking up pace.

Reema: Tell us about these two clients, what was the impact on the back of both these clients ramping down?

A: We cannot disclose the customer specific information but it is not that significant. As I said part of it is also coming because same time last year we had the execution of large government orders in India. So when you compare over the period there is a gap coming from there as well.

So that is the normal course of business but we did expect these two particular contracts, the customers had their own situations which were unexpected for us so that has pushed back growth a little.

Reema: And they will continue even in the next few quarters?

A: No the business will continue, we don't expect the same pushback which they have had as a one-time change in their own operations. And then of course we expect others to come in, we have added four clients this quarter, we have a good addition in this quarter. So things have to fill in the gap as we go forward.

Nigel: On your other income, you have said that primarily is because of rupee depreciation so what rate have you taken the rupee at? Also what was your tax rate for the quarter, on a quarter on quarter basis we are watching out for that because the last quarter it was sub 10 percent odd?

A: On tax, it was around 7 percent last quarter because of some deferred tax asset benefits. This year it has come back to about 26 percent, which is the norm. So that has been a significant difference and also the other income figure last year because of the depreciation was significant.

So those have been to exchange-related issues and tax-related matters and the other incomes which have made a difference and therefore impacted the PAT.

Reema: Your margins have fallen by about 170 bps on a quarter on quarter basis. Can you tell us what the breakup of this margin pressure: how much on account of wages, rupee appreciation, any productivity benefits?

A: Wage has actually had a big impact which we would have expected to have covered up had the revenue difference not happened. So wage has been 8 percent increase for offshore that is in India and 3 percent onsite. So a lot of it actually comes through which we would have expected had the revenue growth been okay. So actually mathematically it comes to that amount.

Nigel: With regard to your margins going ahead, we expected some kind of improvement, some kind of stabilisation around that 14 percent odd, currently we are sub 13.5 percent so do you see this second half being better, can we see the margins move back towards 14.5-15 percent, what is your confidence on that front?

A: Yes second half it will be significantly up in that region. Second half we will see growth as well as margins improve.

Reema: Last time you indicated that the order pipeline is up 25 percent, even the order book executable is up about 15 percent, if you look at it in dollar terms on year-on-year basis this quarter can you tell us the order pipeline, how much is it up on year-on-year basis?

A: Last quarter the orders executable over 12 months were 290, that is up to 295. Same quarter last year was 263 or 264. So that situation is there, now it has to get executed and the setback gets in the way of converting what is executable in an estimated 12 months period which is why we are saying that the second half we had to catch-up, the trend is appropriate and positive.

Reema: And the order pipeline?

A: Pipeline is looking good. I don't have the figure but if you recall we have been talking about significant efforts going into strengthen the sales. We have made changes in the organisation so that is also a positive. So pipeline is going up, we expect that to play out as we go forward. Headcount on sales has also gone up so that improvement is continuing quite steadily and in a predictable fashion.


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Buy Ricoh India; target of Rs 280: Sushil Finance

Sushil Finance is bullish on Ricoh India and has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target of Rs 280 in its July 10, 2014 research report.

Sushil Finance`s research report on Ricoh India

"Ricoh India, a 73.6% owned by Ricoh Group headquartered in Tokyo, deals from Printing & Document equipment & Solutions to IT Services to Communication Systems. Ricoh India has reported excellent revenue growth with a CAGR of 52% between FY11-14. This growth was well spelled out in FY12, when management expressed to achieve turnover of Rs.10 bn in FY14. Having achieved its FY14 target, now it has set another ambitious target of Rs.30 bn sales by FY17. This would be majorly driven by ( 1) Continuous widening product portfolio (2) Going deeper into tier 2,3 cities and (3) Strong pursuance of IT services.We believe, with above strategies & past track record, Ricoh should grow its Revenue by 35% CAGR for FY14-16E."

"From FY12 onwards its margins have suffered heavily though improved slightly in FY14, mainly due to INR depreciation as it imports all of its equipments and frontloaded Investment done for gaining foothold of its newly launched services such as production printers, laser printers and IT services. However, with stable INR coupled with part of frontloaded Opex behind going forward the capital invested for expansion of direct and indirect channel will start bearing behind, forward, results in coming years. This could be further supported by growing sales of IT services which is not impacted by forex volatility. We believe going ahead it should focus on improving its profitability through higher productivity, better working capitalmanagement, and reduction in fixed expenses. Hence, margins should improve gradually in FY14-16E."

"Ricoh is growth oriented MNC with very high standards of products and services. Given the strong parent pedigree, Ricoh India provides proxy to players like Canon, HP, Konica Minolta and Xerox. Ricoh provides rare combination of branded products and IT services which are complementary to each other for business expansion. Given enviable track record of revenue growth coupled with possibility of margin expansions, stock is going cheap with market cap to sales of just 0.64x on trailing basis. Currently stock is trading at 9x FY16E earnings, which we believe is attractive. We recommend BUY with price target of Rs.280 (15x FY16E)," says Sushil Finance research report. 

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Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Accumulate Triveni Turbine; target of Rs 98: Dolat Capital

Dolat Capital is bullish on Triveni Turbine and has recommended accumulate rating on the stock with a target of Rs 98 in its July 15, 2014 research report.

Dolat Capital`s research report on  Triveni Turbine

"Triveni Turbine (TTL) annual report for FY14 paints a promising picture for FY15E. It expects the company to be back on growth path after a challenging FY14. Key updates of FY14 and the road ahead for the company is stated in our annual report analysis below. We maintain our positive view on the company as we believe it to be the key beneficiary of revival in capex cycle. Recommend ACCUMULATE on the stock with a target price of Rs98 per share."

"The domestic market for up to 30 MW, after remaining flat for the past two years, showed a marginal growth of 5% in FY14 over the previous year. Triveni continued its dominant market share in sub 30 MW range domestically and improved it from 58% in FY13 to 63% in FY14.  Sugar co-generation, process co-generation (PCG) and metals were the major contributors to demand growth, with the demand for PCG coming mainly from Food, Paper and Pharmaceuticals Industries."

"TTL expects the domestic capital goods sector to witness enhanced order finalisation from H2FY15 onwards. In the international markets, investments are likely to pick up in Biomass IPP as well as conversion of coal based power plants into biomass based ones. With banning of landfills, alternate disposal of civic waste would facilitate investments in wastebased power generation either through direct incineration or gasification. Latin America, Africa and parts of Europe continue to be big potential markets for such opportunities. In order to augment our aftermarket business, TTL is in process of evaluating options to establish service centres internationally. With the increase in higher MW turbines installed and entry into the utility segment for refurbishment, business from spares & servicing should increase considerably going forward. The decline in turnover impacted margins in FY14. Strong order book as at FY14 end (standalone Rs 5.8 bn & consolidated Rs7.1 bn) and expected increase in order inflows, should result in good growth in bottomline as well in FY15E," says Dolat Capital research report.

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Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Buy NTPC, says Ambareesh Baliga

According to Ambareesh Baliga, Independent Market Analyst, one may buy NTPC.

Ambareesh Baliga, Independent Market Analyst told CNBC-TV18, "Correction will deepen but I don't see a stock like NTPC  cracking too much further from here. It has not really performed as well as the power stocks in the past couple of months but still it has declined from the levels of Rs 168 to about Rs 143-144. At these levels one can still look at buying but one should keep some money for buying it at slightly lower levels."

"It is very much possible that we could see levels of Rs 132-133 but I don't see it going back to those levels of Rs 110-114 which we saw about 7-8 months back. So, that is one pick for me at these levels," he said.


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Allahabad Bank's Q1 results on July 30, 2014

Written By Unknown on Senin, 14 Juli 2014 | 18.00

Allahabad Bank has informed BSE that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Bank will be held on July 30, 2014, inter alia, to consider and approve the Un-audited financial results of the Bank for the first quarter ended on June 30, 2014 (Q1).

Allahabad Bank has informed BSE that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Bank will be held on July 30, 2014, inter alia, to consider and approve the Un-audited financial results of the Bank for the first quarter ended on June 30, 2014 (Q1).Source : BSE

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Budget proposals neither bold, nor clear: Lupin

The Budget is unequivocally positive for the infrastructure, manufacturing and banking sectors; however, no incentives were given to the pharma industry.

Ramesh Swaminathan
Lupin

"The Budget fell short of expectations while the market was looking forward to some meaningful reforms. What we found instead, were a set of proposals that were neither bold, nor clear. It's more or less Status Quo. The FM retained the fiscal deficit at 4.1% of GDP, but unfortunately, there is little information on the roadmap to getting there.  The Budget is unequivocally positive for the infrastructure, manufacturing and banking sectors; however, no incentives were given to the pharma industry. There is a need for the country to have universally accessible, affordable and effective healthcare and in order to do this, it is imperative for the government to offer tax incentives to encourage innovation in R&D and assist in developing and honing Indian IP – none of which has been addressed.

Having said that, there is, some renewed focus on healthcare in rural areas. Setting up research centres on TB towards affordable healthcare, along with 4 new AIIMS is a welcome move but what really needs to be done is the expansion of the healthcare budget, new investments to create medical infrastructure and ramp up the existing public health structure, investments to promote local manufacturing and research – which was missing in the budget.  

The indicated implementation of GST will of course be positive as and when it happens. Furthermore, while the FM spoke about the government's commitment to SEZs to revive and boost economic growth, there was no clarity provided on the specifics. This year's Budget is a let-down, with too much promise and little depth."


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