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HDFC Bank may touch Rs 960: Amit Harchekar

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 31 Oktober 2014 | 18.00

Amit Harchekar – Chief Technical Strategist at A PLUS Analytics is of the view that HDFC Bank may touch Rs 960.

Amit Harchekar – Chief Technical Strategist at A PLUS Analytics told CNBC-TV18, "Technically speaking  HDFC Bank  has given a strong breakout and that translates into a price target of somewhere around Rs 960-970. Although we have a neutral to bearish view on Bank Nifty at this juncture mainly because of weakness in  ICICI Bank  but HDFC Bank has been consolidating in the range of Rs 885-900. After this breakout we are expecting this momentum to extend further. So with a stoploss of Rs 885 we have a target of around Rs 960."

HDFC Bank's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 38.38 per share. (Sep, 2014). The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 23.77. The latest book value of the company is Rs 180.10 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company was 5.06. The dividend yield of the company was 0.76 percent.


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Tata Motors may test Rs 560: Amit Harchekar

Amit Harchekar – Chief Technical Strategist at A PLUS Analytics is of the view that Tata Motors may hit Rs 560.

Amit Harchekar – Chief Technical Strategist at A PLUS Analytics told CNBC-TV18, " Tata Motors  has given a breakout from an inverted head and shoulder pattern and that is also visible from the fact that on derivatives side major long build up has happened with an average price of somewhere around Rs 520 levels."

"We are expecting a price target of around Rs 555-560. I fact within the auto space we are expecting Tata Motors to outperform the entire auto sector and make an incremental high in the coming days. So we are quite optimistic on Tata Motors and recommending the stock with
a stoploss of Rs 516 for a target of Rs 560," he said.


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CoalMin to set up panel for valuation of 42 running blocks

"In order to assess the value of the assets to be paid for acquisition of these 42 running mines, the competent authority has decided to constitute a valuation committee," the official added.

The Coal Ministry has decided to constitute a six-member panel for valuation and assessment of the 42 running coal blocks which were deallocated by the Supreme Court. "In pursuance to Supreme Court's judgement...wherein 204 coal blocks allocated to various companies, since 1993 to 2009 was quashed. Out of these 204 coal blocks 42 (37+5) are running coal mines," an official said. "In order to assess the value of the assets to be paid for acquisition of these 42 running mines, the competent authority has decided to constitute a valuation committee," the official added.

The panel under the Chairmanship of Pratiyush Sinha, the retired IAS Officer, will have representative from the ministries of power, finance, law, coal and CMPDIL, the official said. The committee will carry out assessment of the liabilities associated with the operations of the mine, the official added. The official said that proposed terms of reference of the committee includes, "valuation of assets of each of the coal blocks (37+5)...land demarcated for afforestation and land for rehabilitation and re-settlement of persons affected by coal mining operations under the relevant law."

The panel shall recommend the value of the assets to be paid for acquisition and give its recommendations by November 10, the official said. The committee may engage expert/consultants for the purpose of valuation of analysis of coal mines. The committee may consider selecting such experts from the approved panels of public sector banks/insurance companies. In a major blow to the corporate sector, the Supreme Court had in September quashed allocation of 204 out of 218 coal blocks which were alloted to various companies since 1993.


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Govt mulls changes to land act to boost PPP projects

Government feels proposed exemptions can expedite land acquisition along with boosting rural infrastructure, affordable housing, defence projects and industrial corridors.

The government is mulling changes to land acquisition act to boost public–private partnership (PPP) projects. To quicken the process, BJP is already in talks with Congress for exemptions for PPP projects, sources tell CNBC-TV18.

Land Act declares that states will do social and environmental impact study. However, the government is keen to exempt PPP projects from social impact study and consent clause.

Furthermore, government feels proposed exemptions can expedite land acquisition along with boosting rural infrastructure, affordable housing, defence projects and industrial corridors.


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NIM to improve to 3% in Q3; see GNPA at 5%: Andhra Bank

Written By Unknown on Kamis, 30 Oktober 2014 | 18.01

Andhra Bank 's second quarter net profit has doubled, up 105 percent, to Rs 144 crore against Rs 70 crore on a year-on-year basis. Gross NPA stood at 5.99 percent versus 5.98 percent and net NPA at 3.86 percent versus 3.89 percent on a sequential basis.

Discussing the company results, CVR Rajendran, CMD, Andhra Bank, said he expects asset quality to improve substantially in H2 and recovery from agri loan waiver in the next 2 quarters.

The bank had classified Rs 1,090 crore agri NPAs in the first quarter and saw interest being credited from interest reversal (in Q1), he said.

Net Interest Margin (NIM) has come in at 2.93 percent and Rajendran expects it to improve to 3 percent in the next quarter. He said the bank has been targeting gross NPA at 4 percent, but that looks difficult as there has not been much turnaround in infra NPAs. He expects GNPA to be closer to 5 percent.

Below is the transcript of CVR Rajendran's interview with CNBC-TV18's Sonia Shenoy

Sonia: What does the trend look like as far as asset quality is concerned? This time around your gross non-performing assets (NPAs) are at 5.99 percent. Do you see any improvement in asset quality in the second half of the year?

A: It should improve tremendously in the second part. Our major problem has come from the agricultural loan waiver scheme in both the states of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Recently both the governments have come out and declared about 25 percent of the amount to be paid during the current year in Telangana and 20 percent amount to be paid in Andhra Pradesh.

With that announcement the agricultural loans are getting repaid and getting renewed mostly in Telangana part now because Andhra is yet to pay the money. So if both the governments give the money, about Rs 1093 crore is NPA which we provided during the last year, and the interest reversal and provision on this account of Rs 393 crore provided during the first quarter of the current year which will completely get reversed in the subsequent quarters.

During this quarter alone I had a net benefit of about Rs 75 crore reversal of the interest which was reversed during the current year Q1. So Q3 and Q4 will reflect more of interest reversal happening that is interest being credited to the profit and loss account will happen which will help us in improving the profitability in Q2.

Sonia: On account of this loan waiver what is the quantum of farm loans that you had classified as NPAs?

A: First quarter we had classified Rs 1093 crore as NPA.

Sonia: So going forward since you are expecting to see a recovery from this 5.9 percent gross NPA level how much do you think it could recover by the end of the fiscal?

A: It should be at 5 percent even though we have a target of having 4 percent gross NPA and 2 percent net NPA is our internal target, it appears to be difficult at this point of time because infrastructure there is not much happening because major NPAs are coming from infrastructure, power and the iron and steel sector. So there is not much of turnaround happening in these sectors so a reasonable estimate could be we will be in a position to reach 5 percent in the gross NPA and less than 3 percent in the net NPA at this point of time.

Sonia: Can you tell us what your net interest margins (NIMs) were this quarter?

A: NIM is 2.93 percent for this quarter and we expect it to improve to 3 percent in the next quarter. 

Sonia: What are the fresh slippages and the restructuring for this particular quarter? 

A: Restructuring remains almost the same during the current year. Of course Rs 1000 crore of restructured accounts have moved into NPA that is why NPA numbers have gone up substantially. 

We have sanctioned about Rs 399 crore on the restructured accounts which adds to the restructured portfolio and fresh restructuring during the current year is about Rs 533 crore. So all together it adds to almost Rs 900 crore to the restructured portfolio. About Rs 313 crore is the recovery in these accounts and Rs 318 crore is the upgradation in these accounts. So the opening balance of Rs 10784 crore it has come to 10665 crore, reduction over the opening balance.


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Info can't be disclosed outside specific proceedings: Swiss

The comments come at a time when a Supreme Court-monitored Special Investigation Team is probing alleged stashing of black money by Indians aboard, including Swiss banks.

Amid a debate on disclosure of names of suspected black money holders, Switzerland today said information exchanged under Swiss-India tax treaty cannot be disclosed "in principle" to a court or any other body outside the proceedings of a 'specific and relevant' case.

The comments come at a time when a Supreme Court-monitored Special Investigation Team is probing alleged stashing of black money by Indians aboard, including Swiss banks.

Switzerland, long accused of being a safe haven for illicit funds, has promised to extend assistance to India and reply to requests for information in a "time-bound" manner on cases of alleged tax evasion and financial crimes, or provide a reason if no information can be shared.

Explaining the treaty provisions about disclosure of such 'secret' information, a Swiss Finance Ministry spokesperson told PTI from Berne that authorities from the two countries are having "regular contacts on bilateral tax matters" but refused to comment on particular cases.

The government yesterday gave to the Supreme Court a list of 627 Indians with accounts in a Swiss branch of HSBC bank, on which probe for suspected black money is underway.

Also read:  Black money: India withdraws multilateral info sharing pact

While this list was given in 'sealed envelopes', three other names were made public a day earlier as prosecution had been launched against those persons.

There has been a debate on whether disclosure of names, without prosecution, could violate tax treaties under which these names and other details are shared by foreign countries.

Replying to queries in this regard, the Swiss Federal Department of Finance spokesperson said that the protocol to Swiss-Indian DTA (Double Taxation Agreement) states that any information received "by a contracting state shall be treated as 'secret' in the same manner as information obtained under the domestic laws of that state..."

The treaty further provides that any such information "shall be disclosed only to persons or authorities (including courts and administrative bodies) concerned with the assessment or collection of (information), the enforcement or prosecution in respect of, or the determination of appeals in relation to the taxes ... or the oversight of the above."


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Diesel prices likely to be cut by Rs 2-3/lt effective Nov 1

If happens, this would be the first price deduction since the government deregulated diesel prices in October.

Diesel prices are likely to be cut by Rs 2-3/litre effective November 1 courtesy fall in global crude oil prices, CNBC-TV18 learns from sources.

With this the oil marketing companies (OMCs) are likely to see profit of around Rs 3.20/litre on diesel.

However, OMCs are unlikely to pass on entire profit to consumers. They would to retain cushion of Rs 0.50-1/lite on diesel, sources add.

If happens, this would be the first price deduction since the government deregulated diesel prices in October.

Recently, oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan had indicated that diesel price could be reduced by close to Rs 2.50 a litre after code of conduct for assembly elections is lifted.


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Avoid midcap space: Siddharth Bhamre

Siddarth Bhamre of Angel Broking told CNBC-TV18, "We are seeing upward momentum in most of the counters. One space which I would completely avoid is midcaps. People would again start getting into midcap stocks. One more space where I would probably confine myself not to trade over is the public sector undertaking (PSU) banks."

"Now this time we will include some of the large-cap names also like State Bank of India  (SBI) and Punjab National Bank  (PNB). IT is doing well but we won't get into names like Infosys  above Rs 4,000 level or Tata Consultancy Services  (TCS) at current levels. Wipro  is better to be in IT space. We are also avoiding pharma, we are more into high beta space," he added.


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Tech Mahindra Q2 profit jumps 14%, $ revenue rises 5.2%

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 29 Oktober 2014 | 18.00

Consolidated total income from operations grew by 7.2 percent to Rs 5,488 crore in the quarter ended September 2014 compared to Rs 5,122 crore in June quarter while dollar revenue climbed 5.2 percent quarter-on-quarter to USD 900 million in the quarter gone by.

Moneycontrol Bureau

Software services firm  Tech Mahindra has reported a 14.1 percent sequential growth in net profit at Rs 720 crore on strong operational performance but impacted by forex loss. Profit in the previous quarter was Rs 630.7 crore.

Consolidated total income from operations grew by 7.2 percent to Rs 5,488 crore in the quarter ended September 2014 compared to Rs 5,122 crore in June quarter while dollar revenue climbed 5.2 percent quarter-on-quarter to USD 900 million in the quarter gone by.

"Robust growth in key verticals underpins our belief in strategy of continuous investment in capabilities. We are also heartened by the growth in larger customers which demonstrates their trust and faith in our partnership," said Vineet Nayyar, executive vice chairman.

The bottomline was slightly below street expectations of 15.5 percent growth while revenue beat estimates of 5.2 percent growth on rupee revenue front and 3.8 percent on dollar revenue front.

Tech Mahindra also beat on operational front. Consolidated earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) jumped 22.56 percent sequentially to Rs 955 crore and margin expanded by 220 basis points to 17.4 percent as against estimated growth of 18.3 percent and 190 basis points, respectively.

The company reported a forex loss of Rs 45.8 crore during the quarter as against gain of Rs 12 crore in the previous quarter.

More to come...


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Gujarat NRE Coke: Updates on outcome of AGM

Gujarat NRE Coke has submitted a copy of the proceedings of the 27th Annual General Meeting of the Company held on September 30, 2014.

Gujarat NRE Coke Ltd has submitted to BSE a copy of the proceedings of the 27th Annual General Meeting of the Company held on September 30, 2014.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Guj NRE (DVR)

To read the full report click here


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Gujarat NRE Coke: Updates on outcome of AGM

Gujarat NRE Coke has submitted a copy of the proceedings of the 27th Annual General Meeting of the Company held on September 30, 2014.

Gujarat NRE Coke Ltd has submitted to BSE a copy of the proceedings of the 27th Annual General Meeting of the Company held on September 30, 2014.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Guj NRE Coke

To read the full report click here


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Orient Bell: Updates on outcome of AGM

Orient Bell has submitted a copy of proceedings of 37th Annual General Meeting of the Company held on September 30, 2014.

To read the full report click here


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Kriti Industries India: Outcome of board meeting

Written By Unknown on Selasa, 28 Oktober 2014 | 18.01

Kriti Industries India has board meeting held on August 13, 2014, has approved the following: 1. Mr. Vinod Kumar Mittal has been appointed as Chief Financial Officer of the Company with effect from September 01, 2014. 2. Mr. Satish Patel has been appointed as Company Secretary of the Company with effect from October 06, 2014.

Kriti Industries India Ltd has now informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on August 13, 2014, has approved the following:1. Mr. Vinod Kumar Mittal has been appointed as Chief Financial Officer of the Company with effect from September 01, 2014.2. Mr. Satish Patel has been appointed as Company Secretary of the Company with effect from October 06, 2014.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Kriti Ind


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Shipping Corporation of India: Q2 results on Nov 13, 2014

Shipping Corporation of India has informed that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on November 13, 2014 for approving the un-audited financial results for the quarter and the half year ended on September 30, 2014 (Q2).

Shipping Corporation of India Ltd has informed BSE that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on November 13, 2014 for approving the un-audited financial results for the quarter and the half year ended on September 30, 2014 (Q2).Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Shipping Corp


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Will ICICI Bank double in 3-4 years?

If you look at the kind of drivers that are embedded in ICICI Bank, there is a good chance that you could see a doubling of this stock in the next three to four years, says Ajay Bagga.

Below is the transcript of Anand Tandon and Ajay Bagga's interview with CNBC-TV18's Menaka Doshi and Senthil Chengalvarayan.

Menaka: It is only fair that I read out for you a bit of the rationale for why Bank of America Merrill Lynch thinks that this stock can double in three to four years. They have said that ICICI Bank 's profitability has improved sharply in the past five years but trades at a five year P2B cycle average and large discount to many peer banks. We think that it is set to change and the stock is likely to re-rate as the return on equity (RoE) rises from 14 percent to 18 percent by FY18. They believe that it is relative to peers, it is the cheapest private bank with comparable returns providing best risk reward; that is the rationale for why they think the stock can double in the next two to three years. Would you agree with that?

Bagga: If you look at the kind of drivers that are embedded in the stock, there is a good chance that you could see a doubling of this stock in the next three to four years. I would say nearer to four years on a mathematical basis but probably on a sentimental basis you will get nearer to three years.

Senthil: Any stock that is seen as a proxy to the Indian economy and ICICI Bank would certainly fall in that category. What is expected to do well if the India story is going to be as shining as most people seem to think? Does ICICI stand out in anyway both from valuation point of view and performance?

Tandon: As you mentioned the valuation related to the other private sector banks is a little lower, not very substantially but even then it is lower. There is no doubt that over the last few years ICICI Bank has managed to get its act together. There was an over emphasis on the asset that they had put up overseas which were not performing, still aren't performing and the bank has been struggling to get some of that money back.

So, a lot of effort has been spent in terms of trying to get the domestic franchise back up again, a lot of investment has been made in branch expansion and so on, the assumption that it will bear fruit is reasonable assuming that nothing dramatic happens with the competitive scenario. So, the real joker in the pack has to be that whether or not the public sector banks also wake up given the fact that the government seems to be in the mod to shake up the organisational structures even there.


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Accumulate Cairn India; target of Rs 361: Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services is bullish on Cairn India and has recommended accumulate rating on the stock with a target of Rs 361 in its October 21, 2014 research report.

Emkay Global Financial Services research report on Cairn India

"Cairn India, result were in line with our esti. with PAT at Rs22.7bn, down 16% qoq, due to lower RJ production on planned maintenance shut down at Mangala processing terminal and lower crude oil price. Sales and EBITDA came in line at Rs39.8bn and Rs26.5bn resp. RJ prod. declined by 11% qoq to 163kbpd. Net realisation for 2Q came at $92/bbl, implied.  10.3% discount to Brent oil. Based on various exploratory activities, we expects some clarity on production growth in ensuing quarter, with net capex of US$3bn over next 3 yrs. Company disbursed the balance $450mn as a part of $1.25bn loan facility extended to a Vedanta Group Co. in the previous quarter. Cut our target price on lower crude oil price to Rs361, maintain Accumulate. Currently, the stock is trading at a P/E of 5.4x FY16 EPS and 0.8x P/bv," says Emkay Global Financial Services research report. 

For all recommendations, click here  

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

To read the full report click here


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Syschem India: Outcome of board meeting (EGM postponed to Nov 20, 2014)

Written By Unknown on Senin, 27 Oktober 2014 | 18.00

Syschem India has informed that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on October 16, 2014, has decided to postpone the date of Extra Ordinary General Meeting. The Extra Ordinary General Meeting of the members of the Company is now scheduled to be held on November 20, 2014 at 11.00 AM. at the Registered Office of the Company.

Syschem India Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on October 16, 2014, has decided to postpone the date of Extra Ordinary General Meeting. The Extra Ordinary General Meeting of the members of the Company is now scheduled to be held on November 20, 2014 at 11.00 AM. at the Registered Office of the Company.Source : BSE

Read all announcements in Syschem India


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Brazil's Rousseff re-elected by grateful working-class

Despite opposition from nearly half of Brazil's voters, leftist President Dilma Rousseff won re-election on Sunday and will have another four years to try to revive growth in a once-booming economy gone stagnant.

The 66-year-old Rousseff, who was a Marxist guerrilla in her youth, overcame growing dissatisfaction with the economy, poor public services and corruption to narrowly clinch a second term for herself and the fourth in a row for her Workers' Party.

After a bitter, unpredictable campaign that pitted poorer Brazilians grateful for government anti-poverty programs against those exasperated with a stalled economy, Rousseff must now seek to continue flagship social services even as she tweaks economic policies to restore growth.

Speaking to a relieved crowd of supporters on Sunday night in Brasilia, the capital, Rousseff acknowledged the close race and the call for change expressed by many voters.

"I know that I am being sent back to the presidency to make the big changes that Brazilian society demands," she said after winning the runoff election with 51.6 percent support.

Her slim, three-point margin over centrist candidate Aecio Neves came largely thanks to gains against inequality and poverty since the Workers' Party first came to power in 2003.

Using the fruits of a commodity-fueled economic boom in the last decade, Brazil's government expanded welfare programs that helped lift more than 40 million people from poverty despite the current economic woes.

The "Brazilian model" has been adopted by center-left parties across Latin America and Rousseff's victory, however narrow, is a blow for conservatives in the region.

It also means there will be no dramatic improvement in ties with the United States, hit in recent years by trade disputes and U.S. government spying programs that infuriated Rousseff.

About 40 percent of Brazil's 200 million people live in households earning less than $700 a month, and it was their overwhelming support that gave Rousseff victory on Sunday.

Now, she pledges to deepen social benefits while working to revive an economy that fell into recession in the first half of this year.

She has already promised to replace her finance minister, part of a pledge to rethink economic policies that she has so far been known to all but manage herself.

"Such a tight result reduces her capacity to radicalize policies," said Alberto Bernal, a Miami-based economist with Bulltick Capital Markets. "Pretty much half of the country is against what she has been doing."

So unhappy are investors with Rousseff that Brazil's stock market and its currency both slumped in recent weeks whenever opinion polls showed her gaining ground in the race. They could take another hit on Monday.

Still, Rousseff and aides consistently shrug off market pessimism as little more than tantrums by speculators. As her camp celebrated victory late on Sunday, longtime foreign policy advisor Marco Aurelio Garcia told reporters that investors should relax and "take tranquilizers."

Rousseff's victory came just a year after massive street protests swept Brazil because many advances of the past decade had stalled.

The slowing economy, rising prices and anger over a lack of investment in public services prompted many to ask whether the Workers' Party had exhausted its ability to improve the lives of people in a country still plagued by vast gaps between rich and poor.

FEAR OF THE UNKNOWN

But Neves, a senator and former state governor who enjoys support among the upper-middle and wealthy classes, failed to convince a majority of Brazilians that he had enough new ideas to pull Rousseff from power.

It didn't help that many poor Brazilians associate his centrist Brazilian Social Democracy Party with a less inclusive past, a perception that the Rousseff camp deftly exploited.

"Even if things are getting worse, many voters prefer to stick with what they know than take a risk on the unknown," said Fernando Abrucio, a political science professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation, a business school in Sao Paulo.

A second Rousseff term will not be easy, especially as a slowing economy strains a government model accustomed to high tax revenues to finance social programs and subsidized credit for companies and consumers.

Brazil's economy, after growing by as much as 7.5 percent the year before she took office, is on track to grow less than 1 percent this year. Prior efforts to gun growth, largely through tax breaks and other subsidies for select industries, have largely fallen flat.

Meanwhile, inflation, long a problem in a country with a history of runaway price increases, is now hovering above the government's tolerance ceiling of 6.5 percent.

And while unemployment is near record lows, economists don't expect it to remain so for long as plunging investment, slower growth and further uncertainty prompt employers to cut back.

To correct the course, economists say Rousseff must pursue long-pending tax and labor reforms in order to increase productivity and engage further with the global marketplace.

"Without improving efficiency and making Brazil a more productive part of the global economy, the country will just keep muddling along," said Marcio Garcia, an economist at the Pontifical Catholic University in Rio de Janeiro.

Rousseff will also face gridlock in a Congress increasingly weary of the ruling party and continued uproar over a snowballing corruption scandal at the state-run oil company known as Petrobras.

Brazilian media in recent weeks have been abuzz with leaked testimony by a former company executive relating alleged kickbacks by contractors to Workers' Party coffers.

One news magazine reported that another key suspect told prosecutors that Rousseff was aware of the scheme, an accusation that she has vehemently denied.

"She will face resistance on a number of fronts," said Carlos Melo, a political scientist at Insper, a Sao Paulo business school. "This is a victory in spite of all the problems - not an affirmation of a job well done."


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CARE`s survey report on Indian economy for FY15

CARE's survey on the Indian Economy: FY15

Overall, the survey results suggest that the outlook for the economy in this fiscal year is positive relative to last year. Following are the main highlights of the Survey findings (majority defined as 50% or more of respondents in a single category or combination of categories):-

GDP growth is expected to pick up in FY15 and stand between 5% and 5.5%. The outlook on industrial growth is particularly optimistic for H2 FY15 with a range of 2-4% growth being expected.

Notwithstanding the uneven monsoon this year, inflationary expectations have eased down as half of the Survey sample expects the RBI to comfortably meet its 8% CPI inflation target in FY15.

Majority of the respondents expect the Government to exceed its fiscal deficit target for FY15.

A revival is expected in both investment and consumption spending, which is positive news for the economy.

A rate cut is expected this year and the 10-years GSec yield would be around 8.4%.

A majority still expect NPA ratio to increase this year.

75% of the Survey sample holds the view of Sensex settling above 27,000.

The expectation regarding the movement of the INR is mixed. A majority of the respondents expect it to remain at the existing level of Rs 60-62.

CAD is expected to be between 1.5-2% while respondents are less sanguine on FII inflows which are to be less than $ 35 bn this year.

FOREX Reserves are viewed to be between $ 320 bn and $ 330 bn by March '15.

Speaking on the occasion of the release of CARE Ratings' Survey, Mr. D. R. Dogra, MD & CEO, CARE Ratings said "Expectations and sentiments are critical and have a strong bearing on the business activity in an economy. Today expectations are high based on faith in the new government and the Survey results reinforce the generally positive outlook industry has for the economy this year. This is heartening".

The Survey findings are in line with CARE's own economic forecasts released at the start of the fiscal (Prognosis FY15).

"At a time when there are rising concerns about uneven global growth, the Survey results imply that expectations pertaining to the Indian Economy in FY15 have grown in optimism. Three important takeaways from the Survey findings lie in expectation of a better GDP growth in the range of 5-5.5% in FY15, general outlook for inflation to decline and a modicum of growth in industry and investment this fiscal",  added Mr. D. R. Dogra.

Disclaimer: This report is prepared by the Economics Division of Credit Analysis &Research Limited [CARE]. CARE has taken utmost care to ensure accuracy and objectivity while developing this report based on information available in public domain. However, neither the accuracy nor completeness of information contained in this report is guaranteed. CARE is not responsible for any errors or omissions in analysis/inferences/views or for results obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that CARE (including all divisions) has no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.


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National Aluminium Company: Q2 results on Nov 12, 2014

National Aluminium Company has informed that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on November 12, 2014, to take on record the Unaudited Financial Results of the Company for the quarter ended September 30, 2014 (Q2).

National Aluminium Company Ltd has informed BSE that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on November 12, 2014, inter alia, to take on record the Unaudited Financial Results of the Company for the quarter ended September 30, 2014 (Q2).Source : BSE

Read all announcements in NALCO


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Go long on midcaps, bluechips, quality stocks: Sukhani

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 26 Oktober 2014 | 18.00

The chart for Nifty tells us that we are in a long term bull market, said Sudarshan Sukhani of s2analytics.com. However, he says the markets may correct but the level is known.

"7,800 is now our line in the sand. So far as the Nifty is above 7,800 which is the recent low I have rounded it off we will assume that the correction is over and the Nifty is going towards 8,200 testing the lifetime highs and maybe making newer ones," he said.

Sukhani advises to go long on all midcaps, bluechips and good quality stocks.

Below is the transcript of Sudarshan Sukhani's interview with CNBC-TV18's Latha Venkatesh, Anuj Singhal and Sonia Shenoy.

Latha: What is the overall chart of the Nifty or the Sensex telling you at this juncture, how much could the dip be and what does the high look like at this point in time for 2014?

A: The chart for the Nifty tell us we are in a long term bull market. We have built a base that lasted for four to five years, we have broken out of that base. If the base building takes five years then hopefully the bull market will also give us five years of rallies. So that is the underlying theme over which we are working and through which we are trading. That is a long term theme.

To say if the correction is over, it is a short term call. No one knows that. The markets can correct but we know the levels, which is much more important. 7,800 is now our line in the sand. So far as the Nifty is above 7,800 which is the recent low I have rounded it off we will assume that the correction is over and the Nifty is going towards 8,200 testing the lifetime highs and maybe making newer ones.

Maybe we will go to 8,400 and then come back to 7,800 all these are conjectures, we don't know. Why worry about it, at this point we know we should be on the long side. So far as the Nifty, for the intermediate trader is above 7,800. For the short term trader we keep on talking about what the levels are, where your stop loss should be. At this point we should be long anyway.

Sonia: Tell us what one should be buying in the next one hour in this Mahurat session?

A: Go for midcaps today and just buy and you rightly asked, we shouldn't be shorting this market, not today, because we are in a short term uptrend. I will quickly rattle up the names that are worth looking at.

One is Adani Port ; Latha asked about it yesterday and today is the day when you want to buy it. NTPC , which is giving us a dream pattern, a bullish head and shoulder; yesterday it corrected which means you could actually buy it on a dip. Bharat Forge  which is in a huddle after a sharp correction is giving us a sense that the correction is over and a big break out is imminent, that is three. Finally we have Godrej Industries  which is a high risk buy. We are trying to see if a low has been made and catch that bottom if possible. All midcaps, all blue chips, all good quality stocks, go long.


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Fresh ally trouble: BJP-SAD ties under duress?

It was a strange situation during the campaigning phase of the Haryana's assembly elections. BJP alliance partner in Punjab Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) led by Parkash Singh Badal and his son Sukhbir Badal went all out to support the Indian National Lok Dal. The Badals insisted they had longstanding ties with the Chautalas and had informed the BJP leadership of their support to the INLD - despite how important winning Haryana was to the BJP.

"SAD and INLD together are contesting for 90 seats. The next government will be that of Om Prakash Chautala. Haryana progressed during Chautala's rule," said Sukhbir Singh Badal, President, Shiromani Akali Dal

The tension between the two parties soon rose to the surface. Former BJP MP Navjot Sidhu hit out at the political positioning of the SAD in Haryana.

"These people (SAD) are the same people who hug and kiss BJP in Punjab and wrestle with it in Haryana. How can our alliance partner in Punjab support a convicted person for the post of the Chief Minister? They are stabbing us in the back," Navjot Sidhu, Leader, BJP, said.

Other BJP leaders in Punjab have also begun to say the party should distance itself from the SAD and contest the 2017 assembly elections in Punjab on its own - powered by the Modi wave. The Punjab BJP unit though maintains that the party will decide on its alliance with the sad at the appropriate time.

According to Kamal Sharma, President - Punjab Unit, BJP, "BJP has become stronger under Modi. Our alliance with the SAD is strong. We will cross the bridge when we come to it."

The Akali Dal has denied any rift - saying ties with the BJP are as solid as ever.

Bikram Majithia, Minister, Punjab, said: "BJP relation with SAD is a deep relationship. When it came to Modi becoming Prime Minister we were the first to support him….if you ask us a hundred times also...this relationship will stay together."

BJP has been the minor partner in the SAD-BJP alliance in Punjab. With 12 seats in the 117 member assembly, hitting the 59 mark to form the government on its own in 2017 might be a challenge. However, the results of the Haryana elections where the BJP went from 4 seats to 47 to form a majority government - may propehsize a favourable outcome for the party in Punjab.


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The Future Of Tax!

Published on Sat, Oct 25,2014 | 17:40, Updated at Sat, Oct 25 at 17:42Source : CNBC-TV18 |   Watch Video :

This week, The Firm reports from on location the 68th Congress Of The International Fiscal Association. 1000 tax professions in Mumbai debating Tax Morality, Double Non-Taxation, Base Erosion, Profit Shifting, Digital Economy Taxation & Treaty Abuse. As the global economy is awash with tax challenges, The Firm focussed on revenue reform – what are countries doing to stake claim to their 'Fair Share Of Taxes'. The many trillion dollar question is the impact on how MNC's do business across the world. In this special episode of The Firm, on location the 68th Congress Of The International Fiscal Association, Menaka Doshi speaks to four of the world's best tax experts - Porus Kaka, Senior Advocate & President - International Fiscal Association; Philip Baker -QC, Gray's Inn; Michael Lennard, Chief - International Tax Cooperation, United Nations & Pramila Shrivastav, Former Chief Commissioner - Income Tax.


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PM Modi inaugurates HN Reliance Foundation Hospital

Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Saturday inaugurated the Sir HN Reliance Foundation Hospital and Research Centre in South Mumbai.

The hospital, in its 90th year, has been completely rebuilt by Reliance Foundation, into a modern 19-storey tower with two heritage wings. The foundation is headed by Nita Ambani.

The rebuilt hospital has collaborations with John Hopkins, MD Anderson Cancer Centre, Massachusetts General Hospital and the University of Southern California. It has all modern facilities.

The hospital will reserve a fifth of its capacity for the underprivileged and provide 10 percent beds for free to the needy and another 10 percent at subsidised rates.

Welcoming the Prime Minister and Maharashtra Governor Vidyasagar Rao at the inauguration Nita Ambani said: "We re-dedicate Sir HN Reliance Foundation Hospital to the people of Mumbai", adding that the hospital will treat "each patient as equals".

Mrs Ambani thanked PM Modi for the initiatives taken by him saying "each of PM's initiatives have a connect to healthcare".

Around 50 doctors of India origin across the world have joined the hospital, she said, adding: "Good health is a fundamental right. It is non-negotiable. Everyone deserves to live life to the fullest. Only a healthy nation can be prosperous."

Addressing the inaugural ceremony, PM Modi said that the need of the hour is preventive healthcare in order to scale down the outbreak of diseases and boost the quality of health in the country.

The PM lauded the efforts of Reliance Foundation in giving a new lease of life to Mumbai's first general hospital built in the year 1925. The PM said that in a way it is a new beginning for the hospital.

Modi stressed on Make in India initiative to develop medical equipment locally, which will help in cutting costs. He even favoured the need to integrate tele-medicine to enable expert opinion even for people living far away is extremely important.

The PM mentioned that another important aspect of good healthcare is the provision of clean drinking water. He went on to exemplify his point by lauding the efforts the Madhya Pradesh government for starting a programme encouraging children to wash their hands.

"The journey from health insurance to health assurance is long and has to be achieved," Modi said, adding that all political parties should have health as their one point agenda.

He also stressed on holistic health and said that he has been pushing for an International Yoga Day.  

Kokilaben Dhirubhai Ambani presented a memento to PM at the inaugural function.

Mukesh Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director, Reliance Industries , appreciated the presence of Prime Minister Modi and Governor of Maharashtra at the event. He also lauded PM's US visit.

Present at the inauguration were Amitabh Bachchan, Gulzar, Shah Rukh Khan, Aamir Khan, Hrithik Roshan, Paresh Rawal, Rishi Kapoor, Neetu Kapoor, Sonakshi Sinha, Saif Ali Khan, Kareena Kapoor, Aishwarya Rai, Bharat Ratna Sachin Tendulkar, Sunil Gavaskar, Praful Patel, Kajol, Rani Mukherjee, Sonali Bendre, union minister Nitin Gadkari and Maharashtra BJP leaders Devendra Fadnavis, Vinod Tawde and other celebrities.

(With inputs from agencies)

Disclosure: Network 18, which publishes moneycontrol.com, is now part of the Reliance Group.


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Smallcaps, midcaps to shine in 5 yrs: ICICI Pru's Naren

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 25 Oktober 2014 | 18.01

In an interview to CNBC-TV18, S Naren, CIO- Equities, ICICI Prudential AMC shares his view on the equity market and his outlook for the next few years.

Below is the verbatim transcript of the interview.

Sonia: Do you think that from now until next Samvat as well a lot of money to be made will be in midcaps and small caps rather the large caps?

Naren: If you take a very long period of time it is always the small and midcaps which tend to do the best but if I look at the next one year for us, I have a simple formula, there are three things which I put as a filter to decide which asset class we should actually tell people to invest in; one is bad past returns, second is fear and third is attractive valuations and today the combination of bad past returns, fear and attractive valuations that combination actually goes to debt mutual funds and not to small caps because in small caps as you know the past returns have been very high.

So if you take a one year view it clearly looks to us that small caps are going to be a higher risk, moderate return kind of investment but of course if you have a three to five year kind of view always small caps and midcaps tend to do very well and if you are willing to bear the risk of small caps the five year experience should be very good.

Anuj: From index point of view how should one position portfolio because we have seen IT and pharma do well. Intermittently we have seen domestic cyclicals do well and for the last one month we have seen banks make a big return. Going forward what two or three sectors do you think would give best returns as far as the large caps space is concerned?

Naren: If you see at this point of time the public sector companies which are likely to do disinvestment in the next six months that would be one good investment opportunity. The second investment opportunity if you see there has been so much of fear which is there in the entire mining related stocks at this point of time. If you go back a year the biggest fear was actually in the oil marketing companies and you know the returns that sector has given.

So if you take a two year period clearly another sector which really looks good are all the stocks which have been badly hurt by whatever has happened in mining in the last six months to one year. That would be another interesting pack.

The third pack which I am very scared about but I see potential upside but I don't have the guts to invest is these leverage stock pack. If you see the leverage stock pack most of them corrected. In May they all ran up but after May till now they have actually corrected 30-50 percent and again they have become very cheap but to have guts to buy them you need to have confidence that each of these individual companies will get deleveraged and that appears to be a bit of a challenge but if you are a very high risk investor that is the other pack which looks good.

Other than these three areas I don't think there is any pocket of the market which I can call cheap. People put words into my mouth and say does it mean it is costly, I say, it is not costly but it is not cheap. So, that is where the market is at this point of time.


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Aim to push productivity among devices: Microsoft's Nadella

In an interview to CNBC's Jon Fortt, Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft shares his vision for the company, how cloud will be his main startegy and on women's pay.

Below is the complete transcript.

Jon Fortt: Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft. Thanks for sitting down with me.

Satya Nadella: Thank you, Jon.

Fortt: It's been about nine months, hasn't it, that you've been in the job?

Nadella: That's right.

Fortt: So, just like the PC was the battleground for the '80s, the web for the '90s, the mobile device — iPods, smartphones — for the last decade, looks like the cloud is shaping up to be the battleground for this decade. And everybody wants to rule the cloud. Oracle came out earlier this month talking about their cloud strategy and infrastructure as a service. Of course Amazon's been there a while. Google wants to get into it and eat Microsoft's lunch. You have been pushing Microsoft's cloud initiatives among other things for quite a while now. Why is Microsoft positioned to be the winner here?

Nadella: First of all, to characterize what's happening and why the cloud becomes the battleground: The vision that I've been talking about is this mobile-first, cloud-first world. And when I say mobile-first, cloud-first, it's actually not the mobility of the device, it's the mobility of the human experience across devices. And the way that happens is because the cloud orchestrates it. We will live in a multi-device world. In a given day, every one of us is going to interact with sensors, interact with small devices, large screens. And all of that happens where you have your data and applications because of the cloud. And that's why I think it's a pretty strategic battleground. And in our case, we have a pretty comprehensive vision for what the cloud is and what the future of distributed computing is. When we think about the cloud, we think about first the application tier of it. We have some of the big, large-scale cloud applications for commercial in terms of Office 365 and Dynamics CRM. When it comes to consumer we have things like XBox Live and Bing. So we have a diverse set of, I would call them, cloud applications. That's what, in fact, has led us to build a mega-scale cloud platform in Azure. But quite frankly, we don't stop there. Because I don't believe that one single North American company or a couple of North American companies are going to corner the world's compute, storage and network.

Fortt: Why not? Microsoft did a good job cornering the operating system market.

Nadella: I don't think that's the way the regulatory regime — and what I mean by that is, you may control the software, but not the actual running of it. Because I think the world is going to remain distributed because of both speed-of-light issues, power, regulation, geopolitics. There will be other clouds. There will be a few mega-scale clouds like Azure. But we also don't stop there by building our servers, which are really the edge of our cloud. We enable others to build clouds. So that's the vision that we have. When you ask the question, why do we think we have a unique contribution to make in this cloud battleground? It's the apps, it's the mega-scale cloud platform in Azure, as well as our servers, which we really characterize as the edge of our cloud.

Fortt: You know what Microsoft's critics will say. They'll say Microsoft got cocky in the late '90s. They missed mobility. They missed some web services and e-commerce things, let Google and Amazon grow so big. Why are they going to get it right now with the cloud. What's Microsoft's superpower that's going to work for you here?

Nadella: In the cloud I would say we absolutely caught the trend. See, it's no longer about, hey is Microsoft in the cloud business. We have a USD 4.5 billion business that's growing well and it's fantastic to see. It's just that in relation to our success of USD 70 billion it's a small business. But the overall magnitude of our cloud business today shows that we've caught the trend at the right time, jumped on it with a unique value proposition and we're now further accelerating. So it's no longer for debate, whether we get the cloud. And quite frankly, when I think about — take an attribute of our cloud, which is the operational security rigor. That's one of the reasons why many customers choose our cloud, especially internationally. That's not something that you grow overnight. That's something that comes from having operated over the last five, seven years for highly demanding enterprise customers. That's the position that we now have.

Fortt: And it's expensive to build this, right? Talk about what you think your competitive positioning is versus an Amazon, a Google, a VMware, in terms of your operation in places like China, and what it's going to take to succeed there.

Nadella: I think that if you're not already spending a lot of capital in the order of four or five billion dollars each year to just grow your cloud, probably it's a little too late to enter the market. I mean, that's the entry barrier, and there are a few of us who are in that mega-scale of cloud —

Fortt: So that's the cost of entry. If you're not prepared to spend four or five billion dollars a year, forget it?

Nadella: I mean, that's the rate at which — it's the same thing. I mean, if you're a network operator today, you have to be in that business, and if you're a mega-scale cloud provider you're already committing a lot of capital. In our case we've been committing it for multiple years and we're not alone. There are at least two other players like that, Amazon and Google in particular. But we are one of the three in that category. And the way we've not only done that, but one of the things that we've really invested in is this enterprise cloud, which is — we have data centers in 19 countries. We have made sure we get the certifications to operate under the various regulatory regimes for vertical industries like financial services, or different countries' data sovereignty laws. That's hard work. China is a great example. In fact, we now are the only public cloud company from North America, or global public cloud company, that operates in China. Both Office 365 and Azure. And it's doing very, very well for us. Because it now makes what I would say global infrastructure available for every Chinese company and every multinational that needs to operate in China. That's the kind of investment, learning, progress.

Fortt: Are you comfortable with the compromises you might have had to make to do that in China?

Nadella: There are no compromises. In the case of running the public cloud, the Chinese law states that you want to have a local Chinese operator. This is a completely disconnected cloud from the rest of our cloud operation. It definitely has symmetry with what we do, so that means if somebody wants to move virtual machines or their application from the United States or Europe to China they can move it, but it's its own instance.

Fortt: When people on Main Street think about Microsoft, depending on age, they might think about Windows. They might think about mobile devices and how that's working, or not. They might think about XBox if they're younger. A lot of people — unless they're in business — don't think about business. But the majority of your revenue, I think 2/3 of operating profit actually comes from your commercial segment. In an environment where HP is splitting up business and consumer, in an environment where eBay is splitting up payments and marketplace, and your focus is so much on cloud, why not just spin off the consumer business? Have a good relationship with it, but focus on one thing?

Nadella: One of the things that's really been key to our success — the way, even, our footprint in the enterprise grew — is because of what I term as dual-use. People using Windows and Office for their personal use, and taking it to work. You see that today, even. In fact, we have a pretty profitable, big consumer Windows business, and consumer Office business. One of the subscriptions in Office 365 that's really doing well is the Office Home and Premium subscription. So to us, the way I characterize it is, let's go after the users and their dual use. In fact, I want us to shine, and want to be the best in class around people who are these dual users, who want to use things which are our tools, our platforms for their home as well as work, and it crosses over. There's a lot of work — I mean today there are so many seams — I mean, we brought OneDrive and OneDrive for Business, Exchange and Outlook together. These are things — and Skype and Lync together. These are things that I believe we have a unique contribution to make so that these markets, quote-unquote, don't feel as they are today, which is fragmented.

Fortt: Just before we sat down, I took a look at the App Store. And the top-grossing productivity app on the iPad was still Microsoft Word. I believe Excel is #5. I imagine you're happy about that. What have you learned from the experience of launching that? It's been a few months.

Nadella: You know, we have got tremendous success in terms of downloads. We have also had lots of learnings, even in business model. Of course, a lot of the users on the iPad happen to be already people who are Office 365 subscribers in the enterprise and they get to use now across all devices. But we also are getting brand new growth, because people who are buying, using our subscription offers. Now, we have a la carte offers in the iPad and the iOS store, and so that's really helping us grow. And this notion that we also can now do new types of modules. Because when I think about productivity, I'm happy to have Word and Excel and PowerPoint in the top-grossing applications in any application store. But I also want us to push the envelope of, what does productivity mean in these new device form factors? Some of the things we're doing with Power BI, or Delve, or even Cortana, are examples of us rethinking productivity, where we really give back more of your time to you as an individual. That's where we're going.

Fortt: Google's trying to use the cloud to attack you with Chromebooks, with Chrome OS. You've done some things with pricing, particularly in smaller devices on Windows, it looks like to strengthen your market share and your position. Tell me how do you think about that kind of competition in this cloud era. And strategically, what you're willing to give up, and what you're not.

Nadella: One of the decisions we made very early on, as part of when I became CEO, was really to change the Windows business model so that we could really get more designs, more flexibility in the full price ranges that we want to compete in. So, the low-cost PCs, now we have a connected SKU of Windows that's really helping us get to price points which are Chromebook-like. And we're very competitive. You get a full PC experience versus just an Internet-connected terminal at those price points, running full Office, we think that makes it very competitive. We also have low-cost tablets now. We obviously have phones. So the combination — I was recently in Shenzen seeing some of the ODMs and OEMs doing some of these designs. And that's fantastic to see. Even this holiday, I think you'll see, both in terms of low-cost tablets as well as low-cost PCs with full capability of Microsoft Office available, which I think will only grow the market.

Fortt: You and some other tech executives have talked about how, in this mobile and cloud era, it's more important than ever to have an executive team that's working closely, seamlessly together. Because things are moving so quickly, and as you mentioned, people are connecting from multiple types of devices and want a consistent experience. Microsoft, within in the industry, has had a reputation for being a place where some knife fights can break out over turf, ofter territory. Steve Ballmer said a couple of years ago during a reorganization that he was trying to break some of that down. What do you think you bring to that effort, that's got to be so important to where you want to go? How's your team doing?

Nadella: I mean, culturally, it's super-important to have teams that come together with a level of trust, so that we can go after both our business objectives and more importantly the products. Because one of the worst things that one could do in tech is to have organizational seams show up in your products. Because that's when customers suffer and your business ultimately suffers. In our case, really, the simplification of our strategy, where we talk about it — we're a platform and productivity company. That's what we're doing, and organize around that. We are in gaming, but we're in gaming for its own sake. Let's not even try to think of that as part of the core, but it's a thing on the side that we're very proud of, we have a dedicated team for it. So we've organized ourselves so that we can actually work as one play, one team, and have the experience drive both what we build and how we work with each other versus any organizational boundary. And of course this is something — it's not just about talking it, but it's living it each day. We as a senior leadership team are every week together, talking the hard issues. It's not about trying to put them under the rug, but it's about being able to surface them. There's tension: business model, product. But it's the constant vigil on it that I believe is the way to make improvements and changes in culture.

Fortt: Are there things that you're reading, that you're asking your team to read — things that you're watching or looking at to kind of drive that point home?

Nadella: We had, actually, for very many years, a Microsoft structure which was a business unit structure. We managed each one of the businesses independently. There was of course integration, but at the same time, the accountability culture was about the business unit performance. We always had a shared sales force, but the product creation was always inside of these business units. Now we've brought it together under the One Microsoft rubric to be one play as I say, one strategy. And the thing that requires is a fair amount of coordination. And if there's anything, communication. One of the books I first recommended that everyone read, when I first got on, was Nonviolent Communication by Marshall Rosenberg, which used to be able to say, look, let us make sure we are empathetic to each other's needs, because it requires that. Where does Windows and Office and Cloud come together. But at the same time, each one of these things, for example our cloud strategy, is cross-platform. So we've got to recognize that. Even though we are working together in a very integrated piece, each piece does have uniqueness in terms of their business goals, and we're able to accomplish them.

Fortt: How do you think about what you're not going to do anymore? Or what you're going to do less of? Because it often gets said, good management isn't just about deciding what to do, it's also about deciding what not to do, especially when you've got the kinds of resources that a company like Microsoft has. What are you not doing?

Nadella: One of the key things we stopped doing was treating our consumer and enterprise businesses as completely two distinct things. I mean, even think about what we're doing with Bing. Bing is now central to all of the innovation in Office around information. The fact that Power BI has a natural language interface. A lot of the technology comes from Bing. The fact that this product in Office 365 called Delve that is really an ability to discover information in Office much more like a ranking result of a search engine is, again, technology from Bing. Azure has grown because of all the learnings of how to create at-scale distributed systems inside of Bing. So to me, by organizing ourselves where the technology layers have been brought together — we don't have two emails, two Skype and Lync stacks, two file systems between OneDrive and OneDrive for Business — and thinking about the technology that serves, has been the biggest change that has happened, in fact, in the last year for us. And we are starting to see the dividends of it. And that's a huge shift, actually.

Fortt: I think it's Xbox Studios, some of the content stuff you've decided to stop doing. Other specific things like that? Projects or initiative types that you've just decided, "That's — that's not what we're going to focus on right now?"

Nadella: I would say the Xbox decision where we said we'll focus back on gaming as the core priority. And not only that, by the way, we also are bringing together what we are doing on the PC and the console. Xbox Live, like Office 365, is an amazing asset for us in the cloud, which is the gamer tag. And we're now able to bring these two things together. So I would call it more about taking out the incoherence we may have had in a variety of our efforts. Bringing them together with this focus around productivity and platforms. That's what we're doing a lot better on. And in some cases we have made these decisions where we have completely scaled back from some of our entertainment. We'll still be a great platform for others' entertainment, from a distribution perspective. But we don't need to be first-party in it.

Fortt: Let's talk about some of the Grace Hopper stuff and then get back to cloud. A lot of people don't know you yet. It's only been nine months, you haven't been front and center that much. And you said some things to this conference of professional women that upset some people. Do you understand why what you said upset so many people? And can you elaborate on why you think that is?

Nadella: Yeah. I've sort of obviously in the last four or five days reflected a lot on it. It's been a very humbling and learning experience for me. And one of the best pieces of advice I got, when I got to be CEO was to be bold and be right. And I was bold going to Grace Hopper. I wanted to go to Grace Hopper. I wanted to imbibe the spirit of the place, understand the real issues so that I can be a better CEO, a better leader, and work the real issues. And so I feel very, very good of having gone there, spent the time, spoken to so many people, gotten so many ideas. But I was completely wrong in the answer I gave to the question that was asked around how should women promote themselves and make advances to their own careers. Because I basically took my own approach, to how I've approached my career and sprung it on half the humanity. And that was just insensitive. It was ... as I reflect on it, and especially since the conference, because I just gave a very generic answer — based on, quite frankly, what I've believed and how I've practiced and lived my life — without thinking through, what if someone was faced with bias in their career? How would they feel by sort of getting advice that says, 'Be passive'? I abso- I mean, in the face of bias, the last thing I want anyone is to be passive. If anything, both leaders like me need to take on responsibility to break down the barriers, break down the biases, create systems that are better functioning; and every individual faced with bias should also not be passive. And Maria [Klawe] answered it very well when she said, advocate for yourself. Find other mentors and sponsors who can advocate for you. And that is the right way. And that's been, like, the learning for me. I mean, I said something that was just generic, but I come out of it with real understanding, real empathy that this is a real issue that we want to make real progress on. And I just was, I would say a bit naive in thinking of my own personal experience versus understanding that I'm speaking to women who really, really want to make sure that people like me are making it easy for them to be able to participate in the workforce fully.

Fortt: Some in the industry would say it's a meritocracy. And therefore this isn't an issue. But it sounds like you're saying you do see that there has been bias out there?

Nadella: Right. In a meritocracy, I mean, the thing that, finally ... we all live in a meritocracy and that's what is the optimism we have. But even in a meritocracy there is so much subjective decisions that are made by all of us. How do you make sure that those subjective decisions — whom to promote, when to promote — are not influenced by unconscious bias? So that's where, you know, just because I was .... In 22 years, I came to Microsoft as somebody who knew nobody here, and in 22 years I've become CEO, and so in some sense I'm a product of the system that worked. But I can't take my one example and say that's how it is for everyone. And anyone who's been faced with — "Hey, why didn't I get that promotion? I did that great work!" Those are real issues even in meritocracies and have to be talked about. They don't affect everybody the same way. If you're a minority, it affects you differently. And that, I think, is an issue that needs to be talked about, and leaders like me actually need to do work on it.

Fortt: Last bit on that, since you mentioned it, and then we'll move back to cloud: Some people would say, and have said to me, he's the CEO of Microsoft. Microsoft is a big, powerful company. He can fix this. That's what I expect. What do you say to those people?

Nadella: Actually it's absolutely right. I mean, there is no reason why I shouldn't go to work on it. And in fact, one of the data points that I shared today in our all-hands [meeting] was, one of the things I came back and I asked our HR department is, hey, let's take the principle of equal pay for equal work and let's also talk about equal opportunity for equal work. Those are two core principles for us. On the equal pay for equal work, it turns out we have a very tight band. It's around .5 percent. In fact we went in — so within a .5 percent, all ethnic minorities and women are within that.

Fortt: At Microsoft?

Nadella: At Microsoft. And we looked at women in the US in particular, because that's the data cut that's easy to do for us. And it turns out that last year 99.7 percent of the men's salaries is what women make. So it's different from what perhaps is normally felt across all industries. But we're doing well on that. But by the way, I'm not celebrating any of it. Because all I just said was, we pay equally if you're in the same level. But the real issue is, do we have enough people of different ethnicity, and women in those levels? Do we have them in my SLT [senior leadership team], do we have them in, you know, our corporate vice president ranks? Are we promoting them as vigorously? So there are a lot of other secondary things that we have to go actively work. But to your point, of course, the expectation of anyone should be that a CEO like me should go to work on this and have some principles guide it. And the two principles that I really want to stay grounded on is equal pay for equal work, and equal opportunity for equal work. And we'll make progress on that.

Fortt: Going back to cloud, can you explain to me how the business model is going to shake out? Because I look at infrastructure as a service: Amazon and Google and others are trying to take the margins to zero, it seems like. When you look at software as a service, Google with its version of the Office suite, trying to take the cost to zero. Where's the money going to actually be made three to five years from now in this cloud era?

Nadella: In all of these cases, there will always be some price competition by someone on these various layers. I mean, ultimately there are only two things that I think you compete on. You compete on value, you compete on price. And depending on which layer against which competitor at what time, the equation changes. But our own theory — for example, one of the things that has happened is as we have grown our cloud, especially around infrastructure, one of the things that has grown nicely for us is our server business. It's not, at least in the short term or the intermediate term, zero sum.

Who knows what the long-term stability is. But as we have made our software much more competitive by exercising it in building our own cloud, what has happened is we have built much better server products. SQL 2014 is an amazing example of that. It's the best database release we've ever had, which has got in-memory everywhere. And that's doing super well. So sometimes where you make your margin, where you make your revenue versus where you're building the real power, real strength are not exactly the same place. Over time, even on our cloud, when you look at the margins of some of the higher-level services of Office 365, very different than, say, commodity cold storage. So I feel very good about the portfolio I have — with my servers, which, as I said earlier, is, like, at the edge of our cloud; our infrastructure services; and our higher-level SaaS services. And that portfolio allows us to have a more balanced monetization and at the same time be able to compete with anyone who tries to make it a price war on a given dimension.

Fortt: So it's a matter of having all the different courses of the meal, so you have options on what to charge for and where the value is, based on what you see the customer do?

Nadella: Absolutely. And I also think one of the things that is under-estimated is, it all seems like a commodity until you have too much of it, which is — what I mean by that is, enterprises, what do they care a lot about? They care about SLAs. They care about performance. They —

Fortt: Service level agreements, meaning up-time, is it working when I need it?

Nadella: Exactly. And so the point is, there are many other ways to take something that is just, quote-unquote, commodity, and differentiate by levels of service, by flexibility you provide. And all of those become, you know, pricing tiers. But the thing that I don't want us as a company to shy away from is usage first. Because I think if anything, the new competition has taught is that, you know, what matters is do not try to equate revenue and usage day one. Have the flexibility to be able to get usage. And then there will be other ways to monetize usage when people want a better service level agreement, when —

Fortt: Can you say more about that? What do you mean by not equating revenue and usage?

Nadella: I mean, take OneDrive and OneDrive for Business. It's our easiest one. We want everybody to use OneDrive. And then when you are starting to use it for business, that's when we want to monetize. So we do not want to have you only start using us when you have a business license or subscription. We want to have you use us when you just want to save any file or any document, any artifact of yours. And then have a natural way for us to monetize as you use more of it in the commercial context.

Fortt: Kind of the freemium model, which a lot of startups in Silicon Valley latched onto. But Microsoft has always been fond of getting paid for the software it spent so much time and money developing.

Nadella: Well, we've always had freemium. Sometimes our freemium was called piracy. And — I would say — now there are a lot of, I mean, as I said, there are zero-price Windows SKUs. We have many, many offers of Office. I mean, you talked about Office competition. And when it comes to education and a lot of other markets, we're as competitive as anyone else in terms of pricing. We've never shied away from it. And that freemium model is something that I think is here to stay, and we know how to compete in it.

Fortt: Your database product, I think, is at a $6 billion annual run rate. Should Oracle worry?

Nadella: I feel we have made a lot progress on our database. For us, the database is just one element of our entire infrastructure service. The main thing that I feel that we've done is really taken some of the innovation, like in-memory, and done a fantastic job of stitching it everywhere, in all of the classical uses of the database. And now even playing in some of the new big-data places. So I feel competition is going to be robust. Oracle is going to be a competitor. There are many new competitors. But I feel like we'll be fine. I mean, think about the journey here, which is I think 20 years. And that's the kind of persistence sometimes you have to have to make real progress.

Fortt: What message should we take from the acquisitions that you've done thus far? Enterprise cloud-related in particular. And maybe you even throw Minecraft into that in some way. I don't know, because everything runs in the cloud these days to some extent. What are you looking for that you're willing to acquire rather than feel like you've already got it here at Microsoft?

Nadella: Well, one of the things that — we've done a lot of acquisitions — is adding capabilities to both Office 365 and Azure. One of the best acquisitions we did in the last couple of years was StorSimple, which is a beautiful appliance that you can stick into your data center and it automatically cloud-tiers your storage. Because one of the things that happens inside of data centers is you're continuously buying more storage, more storage. Because guess what? Every application is generating more data. And a lot of it is cold. In other words, it's never hardly used. And perhaps the most cost-efficient way to think about that is to just push it into the cloud, because, after all, the cloud has got economics that are scale economics.

Fortt: Now, you're talking about the hybrid cloud, basically, right?

Nadella: Exactly.

Fortt: So when you put this appliance in, you can have storage right there. And then when you need to, you can pull it from Microsoft.

Nadella: That's correct. That's correct. So that's doing very, very well. That was an acquisition that's now part of our portfolio. In fact, we bought another company along the same lines for disaster recovery. And so we have really now got a very robust offering, not only just for Microsoft, but even for VMware installations. So we are able to do a good job of being able to really provide that disaster recovery back plane in the cloud for any data center. Because you can imagine, when you're in a data center, you want to make sure that there's business continuity.

And you can, in fact, use our cloud without abandoning your data center. So that's a place we have done great work. Another area is in our Active Directory. One of the big crown jewels of our strategy and our asset base is Active Directory. What it is, is it's the place where all of the identity — I mean, you can even think of it as the Facebook of the Enterprise. It's owned by the Enterprise. It's where you log in. It's your credentials. And it becomes the place where not only do you do the login and get access to all of your cloud services, but that's where you manage. In fact, if you're an Enterprise customer, you're trying to use Salesforce, Office 365, even the Amazon cloud, now you have one control plane to provision users, de-provision users, do security, because the best place to find whether you've been penetrated is to look at the login patterns. And we bought some companies there. Two-factor authentication. So those are the kinds of things that we've been building great robust capability in, in both Office 365 and Azure.

Fortt: Interesting — you mention storage and security, which are hot areas right now. And there are a number of opportunities out there. But people might not think of those things first, even when they think about where Microsoft already is in the Enterprise. Are those areas where you're still looking to be opportunistic?

Nadella: We come at it slightly differently when we think about, when we say storage and we say security. Because one of the things is, you have to be playing to, sort of, your strengths. What's my strength in security? It's identity. And what is the security around it? So we now have three things that we have brought together in something called the Enterprise Mobility Suite, which is really doing very well for us. It's identity management. It is device management so that you can set policy, because people are bringing their phones or tablets, iOS, Android, or Windows. And you want as an I.T. person to be able to have a way to administer all of that. And we have that, both from an identity and a device management, and data protection so that there's no information leakage. That's something that's a natural thing for Microsoft to do. And for customers to expect us to do. That's a place. Even in storage, it's the cloud storage. It's SQL. It's big data. It's the cloud tiering of your virtualized infrastructure. Those are the things that I feel — where we have a unique contribution to make.

Fortt: What needs to be fixed still, with security in the cloud? Because we've seen all kinds of scary things happen. iCloud hacking. Dropbox, Snapchat. So far, it doesn't seem to have shaken everyone's confidence in the cloud as an idea, but not to say that won't happen eventually. What do we still need to fix?

Nadella: This is going to be something that's going to be front and center. I would say both privacy and security are perhaps topics that each one of us has to one, take some principal stances on. And then keep working on it.

Fortt: And how do you differentiate between the two, privacy and security?

Nadella: See, first on privacy, it's very simple. In our case, we've sort of taken the stance that the user is in control and we want to be transparent. So that — that's sort of what every product of ours needs to really adhere to, both on the consumer side — and, of course, on the enterprise side we don't set the policy. Our customers who use our infrastructure set the policy. Then when it comes to security, our core is that we have to have great operational security. It's a constant thing. It's not where we can sit on and say, "Oh, we've got great operational security." Every day you learn about the new attack vectors. And you get better and you get better. But the truth is that if you're running something as complex as Azure and Office 365, your learning curve is so much better than anyone else who's not dealing with all of these various attack vectors. That doesn't mean that something bad won't happen. But it means that we will have capability that is more sophisticated than anybody else. But we have to keep at it. The other thing on security, though, is the stance we have taken around what does it mean to work within some framework of law? Because one of the key things that matters — matters to corporations, matters to citizens, matters to companies in other countries — is what is the framework within which you're operating?

In our case, we have drawn the line and said that, one, we don't give any unfettered access to data in our cloud to any government agency without some due process of law. And we are going to fight any court orders to access data that's overseas. Because we think that that's important for us to take a stance so that the global ability of clouds doesn't get stymied.

Fortt: My sense of privacy and my country's sense of security might be at odds with each other.

Nadella: And I absolutely believe the governments have a role to play in protecting their citizens' interests. And in their national interest. I absolutely think that every government has to do that, because you and I as citizens of the United States feel secure because our government is doing that. The only thing that I believe we need to now put in place, though, is what's the legal framework within which the government operates to protect its citizens, and protect their national interests?

Fortt: We're pretty far from getting that framework at this point, aren't we?

Nadella: But I'm still hopeful. I mean, that's what I've advocated and that's what Brad Smith, who's our general counsel, and others in the industry. And I'm hopeful for the dialogue and that we will get to the right place. Because that's the only way forward.

Fortt: Are you pushing on that in Washington?

Nadella: Absolutely. Absolutely.

Fortt: All right. Nine months in, a lot has happened. It's a fast moving industry. The economy, the markets are going through a period of great volatility. How do you feel about the whole global economic picture, and how that affects your plans going forward?

Nadella: I mean, it's— it's actually very interesting. When I look at how we're doing at least currently — we seem to be doing pretty well in some of the developed markets, including the United States. We have our quarterly results next week and we'll talk more about it. But I feel good about what I'm seeing in the traditional markets where we've been strong. I would say the emerging markets have been a little more challenging for us. And that's a place where we're also trying new business models. I spent two weeks in Asia recently, and learned a lot about what it takes to succeed in these markets is probably not the same — that worked for us traditionally. New business models, what does it mean to monetize post-sale, cloud? Because these markets probably will bypass entire generations of technology and come to something new. So it's going to require a lot more diversity in the approach that we take, both in terms of product and business model. And things, as you said, are fast-moving. And the ability to really learn from that. That's why one of the key things that we have changed in our own metrics is usage, usage, usage. Which is, wherever we are seeing something getting used, that to us is an early indicator that there might be something that people want. And then let's figure out how to make that great. And then let's go figure out monetization. It's a very different approach. And the new platforms and the new ways of delivering things enables us to do it.

Fortt: All right. Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft — I appreciate all the time. And it's going to be interesting to see how all these things shape up, heading into the midpoint of the decade.

Nadella: Thank you so much, Jon.


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Should you buy Wipro despite weak Q2 revenue growth?

The management is optmistic that H2FY15 will be stronger. K Kurien, executive director & chief executive officer sees good momentum in large deals. He expects H2FY15 (October-March) to be better than H1FY15. According to him, the current demand environment is better than last year.

Moneycontrol Bureau

Prabhudas Lilladher advises to buy  Wipro despite its July-September quarter underperforming peers in dollar revenue growth. The brokerage has a target price of Rs 650 per share stating that improvement in win rate may drive revenue momentum in CY15, along with available margin levers that would accelerate earnings momentum. However, it also quickly warns that there could be near term weakness in the stock due to weaker-than-expected guidance.

The management is optmistic that H2FY15 will be stronger. K Kurien, executive director & chief executive officer sees good momentum in large deals. He expects H2FY15 (October-March) to be better than H1FY15. According to him, the current demand environment is better than last year (Read management interview here )

"The management is still confident of improving growth momentum in H2FY15 on the back of large deal wins. Moreover, return of discretionary spend in the US and Outsourcing penetration in Continental Europe makes demand outlook healthier," Prabhudas Lilladher said in a note.

Wipro underperformed its peers in dollar revenue growth. TCS had reported 6.4 percent, Infosys 3.19 percent and HCL Technologies 1.9 percent growth in dollar revenue on sequential basis.

IT services revenue in rupee terms grew by 4 percent quarter-on-quarter (up 8.5 percent on yearly basis) to Rs 10,923 crore during the quarter. IT services revenue (non-GAAP constant currency) in dollar terms climbed 1.8 percent sequentially (up 8.6 percent year-on-year) to USD 1,771.5 million, which was within the company's guidance range of USD 1,770 million to USD 1,810 million but lower than estimates of USD 1,783 million (according to the average of estimates of analysts polled by CNBC-TV18).

The software services firm's second quarter net profit declined nearly 1 percent sequentially (up 8 percent year-on-year) to Rs 2,098.3 crore dented by higher tax and finance expenses, and reconciling items. Profit in the previous quarter was Rs 2,118 crore.

The stock closed at Rs 560.75, down Rs 20.95 or 4 percent in Mahurat trading on Thursday.

Posted by Nasrin Sultana


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This upcycle will likely last five or six Diwalis: Udayan

Udayan Mukherjee of CNBC-TV18 said that retail investor had been coming back into the market after five or six years and added that a large section of investors who did not participate in the 2003-2007 bull run should now look to become a bit more courageous towards equities

Discussing how the markets are expected to perform over long haul, Udayan Mukherjee of CNBC-TV18 said that retail investor had been coming back (into the market) after five or six years and added that a large section of investors who did not participate in the 2003-2007 bull run should now look to become a bit more courageous towards equities.

"It is time to probably be a bit brave and position oneself for the next up cycle which probably will be the five or six Diwalis," he said.

Below is the transcript of Udayan Mukherjee's interview with CNBC-TV18's Latha Venkatesh, Anuj Singhal and Sonia Shenoy.

Sonia: The market is up, a whopping 25 percent between last Diwali and now and more importantly the mood among retail investors has improved, something that we haven't seen in a very long time?

A: It has really been a very nice ride from last Diwali onwards to this one and the significant point is what you just touched upon that this run up to the Diwali in some small sense has heralded the return of the retail investor to the market after a gap of full five or six years. All mutual fund managers will bear testimony to that that the first signs of them coming back to the market into this forgotten asset class is probably the high point or the big story of the market from last Diwali to this Diwali much more than the fact that we have had a 25 percent rally between those two points.

Let us see what happens now onwards because the conviction of the retail investor or the high net worth investor, the domestic investor would have been tested a little bit by the correction in October and these are usually the good testing points which tell you how strong conviction is in this bull run or this uptrend in the market that we have all been discussing.

So this Diwali is a good time for reflection and to sit back and take stock for a lot of people who have missed out and not participated yet because I believe there is a very large population of investors who were there in 2007 who have still not summoned up the courage to enter the equity markets and this correction that is happening right now is a good point for them to reflect on whether they should be upping their weightage on equities as an asset class once again. Some people have already done it but whether more should join the bandwagon right now and ride the wave to the next Diwali is a very important discussion point.

Latha: What would you one maxim or word of wisdom that you want to impart to our viewers on this Samavat 2071?

A: I would say just be a bit more courageous this time around, you have been in a shell for the last six years, we have played out our down cycle almost. We are probably in the last innings or beyond that of the down cycle. Everything changes, we usually move in six year or five year kind of cycles. It is time to probably be a bit brave and position oneself for the next up cycle which probably will be the five or six Diwalis. That is my expectation and that is the best I can say for people who are still not in the equity market.

We are probably passing through a few dark moments out here where conviction will get tested but the next five or six Diwalis could be, if not like 2003 – 2007, probably a very good time for investing and making money from the stock market. That is my expectation I keep my fingers crossed and I hope people participate and make a lot of money over the next five years for themselves.


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US stock futures tumble on reports of Ebola case in NY

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 24 Oktober 2014 | 18.01

US stock futures tumbled while safe-haven assets such as the yen and US bonds gained on Friday after media reported that a doctor who returned to New York City from West Africa has tested positive for Ebola.

S&P mini futures fell as much as 0.7 percent to 1,931.75, slipping from two-week highs hit the previous day on budding optimism on corporate earnings and the global economy.

Asian shares also lost some ground with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipping 0.1 percent.

Japan's Nikkei share average also gave up some of earlier gains, though it was still up 1.0 percent on the day.

"Just when markets got some relief on the world economy, we had this news. Obviously people who have just made bullish bets (on the economy) will close their positions as no one can tell exactly what is going to happen," said the head of currency trading at a Western bank's Tokyo branch.

The first diagnosed case of Ebola in the world's financial hub of New York sent investors rushing to traditional safe-haven assets.

As US bond prices gained, the 10-year U.S. yield fell back to 2.250 percent from Thursday's two-week high of 2.300 percent.

In the currency market, the yen gained 0.3 percent to 108.00 yen to the dollar while the risk-sensitive Australian dollar became the victim of rising caution among investors, falling 0.3 percent to USD 0.8732.

Risk asset prices had risen on Thursday after upbeat US corporate earnings, solid US economic data, and an unexpected uptick in euro zone business sentiment helped ease concerns that the global economy was losing momentum.

Results from Caterpillar Inc and 3M Co reassured investors that companies with large overseas revenue streams could deliver solid profits, despite concerns about global economic growth.

The markets ignored positive earnings earlier this month, when the world's share prices hit multi-month lows, overwhelmed by fears that sluggishness in Europe and Asia could deal a severe blow to the US economy as well.

But a steady flow of solid earnings helped to ease many such concerns for now.

With 177 of the S&P 500 companies having posted third-quarter results, 69.5 percent have beaten expectations, better than the 67 percent beat rate over the past four quarters, and higher than the 20-year average of 63 percent, Thomson Reuters data showed.

"The markets had fallen on sentiment rather than on facts. And the sentiment is coming back," said Soichiro Monji, chief strategist at Daiwa SB Investments.

New claims for US unemployment benefits also held below 300,000 for a sixth straight week last week.

In the euro zone a survey showed businesses performed much better than anyone expected this month, even though it also pointed to strong deflationary pressure in the region.

The euro drew some support from the surprise strength in the euro zone data, but was still near a two-week low of USD 1.2614 hit on Thursday. It last stood at USD 1.2657.


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Gold poised for weekly loss on strong US data, dollar

Data on Thursday showed that new claims for US unemployment benefits held below 300,000 for a sixth straight week last week, suggesting the labour market was shrugging off jitters over a slowing global economy.

Gold dipped for a third session on Friday and was headed for a weekly loss as a firmer US dollar and robust economic data dented the metal's appeal as a hedge.

Fundamentals

* Spot gold eased 0.1 percent to USD 1,230.48 an ounce by 0020 GMT, after slipping over 1 percent in the previous two sessions.

* The metal is headed for a weekly loss of 0.6 percent - its first drop in three weeks - as the dollar gained after two weekly declines in a row.

* Palladium was the best performer among precious metals for the week, with a near 4 percent jump.

* The dollar rallied on Thursday as investors plowed cash back into riskier asset classes, underpinned by promising US data and stronger-than-expected manufacturing reports in Europe and China.

* A strong greenback makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

* Data on Thursday showed that new claims for US unemployment benefits held below 300,000 for a sixth straight week last week, suggesting the labour market was shrugging off jitters over a slowing global economy.

* Euro zone businesses performed much better than forecasters expected this month and China's vast factory sector grew a shade faster, but US manufacturing activity sputtered to its slowest since July, underscoring the uneven nature of the post-crisis global economy.

* The data, however, still managed to calm investor nerves after fears of a global slowdown prompted a sharp sell-off in global equities and the dollar, dimming gold's appeal as a safe-haven.

* In news from the miners, Peruvian precious metals miner Hochschild posted a decline in third-quarter production, hit by lower grades at its Pallancata mine and a two-week strike at its Arcata asset, but said it was still on track to reach its annual target.

* African Barrick Gold Plc tightened its costs target for the full year as it increased output while also cutting jobs to beat the sharp drop in gold prices.


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